Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/10 Table B Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+85.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 24,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +29.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shingo Hori● Tomohiro Miura● Kana Nakada● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Tomohiro● Kana● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Kana Nakada
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
Kana Nakada
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura26%25%25%24%-25.5-1.3+24.2+2.5
East 2Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00010%23%43%24%-3.6-12.0-5.3+21.0
East 3Shingo Hori tsumo 6,0008%15%36%41%-4.6-6.3+18.4-7.5
East 3, 1 honbaTomohiro Miura tsumo 4,0006%10%54%30%+7.7-0.3-3.1-4.3
East 4Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa8%11%52%29%+1.2-2.0+12.6-11.8
South 1Exhaustive draw7%8%69%16%+1.2+1.8-2.8-0.1
South 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw9%10%65%17%+6.0-3.8-2.20.0
South 1, 2 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada12%8%62%18%-5.6-14.2+0.6+19.2
South 2Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada4%5%62%30%+0.5-14.1+16.6-2.9
South 3Shingo Hori tsumo 24,0001%0%84%15%-9.1-7.5+29.8-13.2
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%0%99%1%-1.9+2.2-1.5+1.3
South 4, 2 honbaKana Nakada tsumo 8,0000%0%99%1%-20.3+26.8-1.4-5.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)