Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/13 Game 1

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +31.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Yu Suzuki● Rio Tojyo● Sho Shiratori● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Yu● Rio● Sho● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultRio Tojyo
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Rio Tojyo
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Rio Tojyo25%25%24%25%-6.8+7.4+1.4-2.1
East 2Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,00019%31%26%24%-12.9+43.5-15.7-14.9
East 2, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo9%69%12%11%-17.7-1.3-1.4+20.5
East 3Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Sho Shiratori4%67%10%19%-1.6-18.3+18.9+1.0
East 3, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki5%47%23%25%+1.5-1.8+31.7-31.4
East 3, 2 honbaRio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori4%40%47%8%+5.2-5.9+0.2+0.5
East 4Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Sho Shiratori6%36%50%8%+1.1-16.1+3.0+12.1
East 4, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki7%22%57%13%-2.8+1.6-14.7+15.9
East 4, 2 honbaYu Suzuki ron 6,400 from Sho Shiratori7%27%42%24%+0.4-21.3+24.0-3.2
South 1Rio Tojyo ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori5%11%69%15%+6.5-8.5+1.6+0.4
South 1, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Rio Tojyo6%8%71%14%-11.0+0.7+1.5+8.7
South 2Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,0001%7%75%17%-2.4-9.9-0.1+12.3
South 3Exhaustive draw1%1%75%24%-3.5-0.2+0.5+3.2
South 4, 1 honbaRio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki0%0%80%20%+20.6-15.6+8.8-13.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)