Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -16.9 | +30.9 | -8.1 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 13% | 48% | 19% | 20% | +0.8 | +4.7 | -0.8 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 12% | 54% | 18% | 17% | +1.3 | -8.3 | 0.0 | +7.0 |
| East 3 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 46% | 18% | 22% | -10.6 | -11.6 | +31.2 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 9% | 34% | 40% | 16% | -2.6 | +4.2 | -23.4 | +21.8 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 38% | 23% | 31% | -2.6 | -1.8 | +14.5 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 37% | 34% | 21% | -13.2 | -9.5 | -7.9 | +30.6 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,500 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 24% | 23% | 50% | -3.7 | +5.7 | 0.0 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 30% | 23% | 46% | +7.0 | -6.0 | -4.6 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 24% | 20% | 54% | -1.2 | -4.2 | +11.1 | -5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 21% | 31% | 46% | -11.9 | -9.8 | -9.3 | +30.9 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 5% | 6% | 90% | -0.4 | -10.0 | +7.2 | +3.1 |