Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Maki Asami tsumo 16,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 16,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -22.5 | -7.6 | +40.3 | -10.2 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 11% | 15% | 58% | 16% | -0.4 | +8.5 | -0.1 | -8.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 19% | 58% | 13% | -1.2 | +5.2 | -1.4 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 23% | 56% | 11% | +4.4 | -3.4 | +0.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 12% | 21% | 57% | 11% | -21.5 | -2.3 | -2.4 | +26.3 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 18% | 56% | 23% | +19.4 | -3.6 | -3.2 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 18% | 56% | 16% | -18.1 | -5.9 | -5.0 | +29.1 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 3% | 14% | 47% | 37% | +3.0 | -24.8 | +24.3 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 78% | 21% | +3.1 | -2.4 | -3.3 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 2,600 from Shota Akutsu | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | -16.2 | +16.0 | +8.9 | -8.7 |