Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/14 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asami Maki tsumo 16,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +42.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -21.7 | -10.4 | +42.0 | -9.9 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 10% | 15% | 59% | 16% | -1.2 | +11.0 | -0.8 | -9.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 20% | 58% | 13% | -1.9 | +5.3 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 24% | 56% | 12% | +6.7 | -4.3 | -0.9 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 13% | 20% | 55% | 11% | -22.6 | +0.3 | -0.4 | +22.7 |
| East 4 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 20% | 56% | 20% | +19.6 | -5.4 | -2.5 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 18% | 56% | 16% | -17.2 | -7.4 | -5.6 | +30.2 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 4% | 13% | 47% | 36% | +1.9 | -23.6 | +24.9 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 1% | 80% | 19% | +2.0 | -1.8 | -4.3 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 2,600 from Akutsu Shota | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | -15.5 | +15.6 | +9.2 | -9.2 |