Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -3.5 | -18.7 | +21.4 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 14% | 40% | 25% | +33.0 | -17.5 | -7.7 | -7.8 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 5% | 30% | 17% | -3.5 | +35.6 | -20.1 | -11.9 |
| East 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 48% | 21% | 18% | 13% | -1.9 | +21.5 | +1.4 | -21.0 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Okada Sayaka | 43% | 35% | 17% | 6% | +1.6 | -7.5 | +6.8 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 48% | 27% | 21% | 5% | -3.9 | +9.0 | -3.2 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 41% | 36% | 19% | 4% | +5.3 | -0.5 | -16.2 | +11.4 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 49% | 34% | 10% | 7% | +21.0 | -4.8 | -17.5 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 14% | 0% | 4% | +7.1 | -5.1 | +15.1 | -17.1 |