Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/14 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -3.0 | -20.5 | +22.6 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 14% | 40% | 24% | +33.7 | -18.6 | -6.3 | -8.7 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 6% | 30% | 16% | -4.9 | +33.7 | -20.8 | -8.0 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 46% | 20% | 17% | 17% | -1.3 | +23.9 | +1.8 | -24.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Sayaka Okada | 42% | 36% | 18% | 4% | +1.3 | -6.4 | +7.5 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 29% | 22% | 4% | -3.3 | +5.8 | -2.8 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 40% | 35% | 20% | 4% | +6.5 | +1.2 | -18.2 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 50% | 35% | 9% | 6% | +20.4 | -5.0 | -17.4 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 15% | 0% | 4% | +7.0 | -5.7 | +15.5 | -16.7 |