Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/16 Table B Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+53.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 7,800, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +35.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -26.2 | -0.6 | +0.7 | +26.1 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 10% | 22% | 22% | 46% | +24.0 | -1.5 | -0.4 | -22.1 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 24% | 23% | 25% | 28% | +0.4 | +1.4 | -22.6 | +20.9 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 22% | 22% | 12% | 45% | +1.8 | +8.0 | -10.2 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 22% | 27% | 7% | 44% | -31.7 | -0.1 | +24.7 | +7.1 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 26% | 15% | 54% | -5.7 | -17.7 | -7.1 | +30.5 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Kazuma Ishii | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | +1.6 | -25.9 | +25.9 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 12% | 88% | -0.4 | -1.2 | +40.4 | -38.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 74% | 25% | +29.4 | -12.2 | -10.0 | -7.3 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 7,800 | 9% | 0% | 70% | 21% | -7.7 | -2.6 | -25.3 | +35.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 16% | 81% | -5.3 | +7.7 | -5.3 | +3.0 |