Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/16 Table B Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.1 | +24.2 | +0.4 | -19.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 20% | 42% | 24% | 14% | +7.7 | -7.5 | -0.9 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 35% | 23% | 15% | -11.3 | -14.0 | +35.7 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 21% | 53% | 9% | -5.3 | +28.6 | -17.9 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Miura | 13% | 46% | 33% | 7% | +11.3 | +1.3 | +1.1 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 47% | 32% | 3% | +9.8 | -9.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 27% | 36% | 34% | 3% | +0.4 | -10.4 | +3.2 | +6.8 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 30% | 39% | 5% | -13.7 | +37.5 | -16.4 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 71% | 16% | 2% | +42.4 | -25.6 | -11.5 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 1,500 | 57% | 31% | 10% | 2% | -0.6 | -4.7 | +5.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 27% | 14% | 1% | -22.8 | -16.3 | +44.7 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 13% | 62% | 1% | +37.7 | -10.9 | -24.9 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 80% | 4% | 16% | 0% | -10.6 | +1.1 | +5.6 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaki Asai | 63% | 7% | 29% | 1% | +17.8 | -4.5 | -10.9 | -2.3 |