Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/17 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -13.1 | -4.7 | +20.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 17% | 20% | 41% | 22% | +22.0 | -22.0 | +0.5 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 30% | 9% | 42% | 20% | +23.6 | -17.3 | -6.9 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 51% | 3% | 29% | 17% | -1.9 | -0.6 | -6.2 | +8.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 49% | 4% | 24% | 23% | -7.5 | -0.9 | +1.4 | +7.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 42% | 3% | 27% | 29% | -12.2 | -2.8 | +16.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 28% | 2% | 44% | 26% | -28.1 | +0.8 | +28.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 4% | 2% | 79% | 15% | -1.5 | -11.2 | -0.1 | +12.7 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 78% | 21% | -3.3 | -2.1 | -20.2 | +25.6 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 60% | +12.4 | -2.7 | +21.0 | -30.8 |