Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/17 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +27.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Futoshi Watanabe● Aiko Hinata● Kei Nakabayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Kazunori● Futoshi● Aiko● Kei
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultFutoshi Watanabe
1st-place chance
Aiko Hinata
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Kei Nakabayashi
1st-place chance
Futoshi Watanabe
Expected pt change
Aiko Hinata
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Kei Nakabayashi
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,00027%25%24%24%-14.1-3.8+21.8-4.0
East 2Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata16%21%42%21%+23.7-24.3-0.8+1.4
East 3Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata30%9%39%21%+24.4-18.2-4.6-1.7
East 4Exhaustive draw52%2%30%16%-3.9-0.4-3.9+8.3
East 4, 1 honbaKei Nakabayashi ron 2,900 from Futoshi Watanabe48%3%27%21%-9.6-0.5+0.8+9.2
East 4, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe38%3%30%29%-9.6-2.9+15.3-2.9
South 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe28%2%45%25%-28.0+0.3+27.3+0.5
South 2Kei Nakabayashi ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata4%2%78%17%-1.1-10.1-0.3+11.5
South 3Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,0002%0%77%21%-4.2-2.3-20.0+26.5
South 4Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,0000%0%39%60%+12.8-2.7+21.1-31.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)