Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/17 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +45.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Yu Suzuki● Hisato Sasaki● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Takaharu● Yu● Hisato● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi26%24%24%26%-0.8+1.6+7.1-7.9
East 2Exhaustive draw23%26%30%20%+5.3-6.7-0.3+1.8
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00029%20%30%22%-4.8-5.8-16.3+26.8
East 4Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,10024%16%17%43%-3.9-0.1+4.4-0.5
South 1Exhaustive draw21%16%21%43%+9.6-2.5-2.4-4.7
South 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 1,10028%15%19%38%-6.1-4.8-2.7+13.7
South 2Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,00020%12%16%52%-6.4-18.1+30.5-6.0
South 3Exhaustive draw17%3%38%43%-4.7-1.3+13.2-7.1
South 3, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki tsumo 2,70011%2%55%32%-3.1+5.0-0.1-1.8
South 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00010%3%62%25%-10.8-4.8-29.7+45.3
South 4, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki0%0%3%97%+5.5-9.0+3.50.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)