Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/17 Table B Game 1

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +29.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shimoishi Geki● Katsumata Kenji● Hagiwara Masato● Okada Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Shimoishi● Katsumata● Hagiwara● Okada
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKatsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
East 1Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka26%24%25%25%-3.5+22.6-18.8-0.3
East 2Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji21%41%14%24%-3.4-1.3+3.3+1.4
East 3Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato20%40%15%26%+16.8-14.8-1.7-0.4
East 4Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji32%28%14%26%-6.3+11.8-4.3-1.1
South 1Draw27%37%13%23%-5.9-1.9+1.1+6.7
South 2, 1 honbaHagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji22%36%13%29%-22.2+23.0-0.2-0.7
South 2, 2 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji6%61%10%23%-23.4-5.3+1.8+26.9
South 3Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato0%47%6%46%-1.2-25.3-3.3+29.9
South 4Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,0000%4%0%96%+25.1-1.1-20.6-3.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)