Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/17 Table B Game 1

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +31.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Geki Shimoishi● Kenji Katsumata● Masato Hagiwara● Sayaka Okada0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Geki● Kenji● Masato● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada25%24%26%25%-0.9+22.9-21.0-1.0
East 2Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata22%42%13%23%-5.6-3.2+6.4+2.4
East 3Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara20%39%15%26%+17.4-13.4-3.5-0.6
East 4Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata33%27%14%26%-5.8+12.7-4.9-2.0
South 1Exhaustive draw27%40%11%22%-5.7-3.0+2.9+5.8
South 2, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata23%36%13%28%-22.1+23.2-1.4+0.3
South 2, 2 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata6%62%10%22%-23.5-5.8+2.5+26.9
South 3Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara0%49%7%44%-1.3-26.5-3.6+31.4
South 4Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,0000%3%0%97%+25.0-0.3-20.9-3.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)