Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/17 Table B Game 2
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 22% | 26% | +5.9 | -3.1 | -0.6 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 30% | 24% | 23% | 23% | -19.9 | -1.1 | +20.8 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 15% | 23% | 38% | 24% | -1.3 | -8.8 | +8.5 | +1.5 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 16% | 47% | 23% | +6.5 | -0.5 | +0.8 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 16% | 48% | 19% | -9.6 | +34.8 | -8.2 | -17.1 |
| South 1 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 41% | 36% | 11% | -13.7 | +26.4 | -6.4 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 72% | 20% | 5% | -2.2 | +2.3 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 1% | 79% | 16% | 4% | -13.4 | +12.3 | -3.8 | +4.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -4.5 | +2.1 | +4.0 | -1.6 |