Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/17 Table B Game 2
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +3.3 | -2.3 | -0.2 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 29% | 23% | 24% | 25% | -19.2 | +0.1 | +19.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 14% | 23% | 39% | 24% | +0.2 | -9.0 | +10.0 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 17% | 47% | 22% | +7.2 | -1.3 | -2.3 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 15% | 46% | 20% | -9.4 | +37.8 | -6.6 | -21.9 |
| South 1 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 42% | 36% | 9% | -13.3 | +24.2 | -6.4 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 3% | 71% | 22% | 4% | -3.3 | +2.8 | -1.6 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Kosuke Nagai ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 1% | 79% | 16% | 5% | -13.5 | +13.0 | -3.9 | +4.4 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 96% | 2% | 2% | -4.8 | +1.2 | +4.5 | -0.8 |