Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/20 Game 1

Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishii Kazuma ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +52.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ishii Kazuma● Okada Sayaka● Takeuchi Genta● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ishii● Okada● Takeuchi● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOkada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Takeuchi Genta ron 5,200 from Ishii Kazuma27%24%25%24%-4.6+13.6-11.7+2.7
East 2Takeuchi Genta tsumo 3,00023%34%17%26%-3.5+12.0-5.3-3.1
East 2, 1 honbaOkada Sayaka tsumo 12,00019%44%14%23%+35.7-20.4-5.4-9.9
East 3Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken49%23%12%16%-3.4+26.4-3.3-19.7
East 4Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,00041%45%7%7%-2.5-3.9+21.6-15.2
South 1Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,00039%42%16%3%-15.7-5.8+26.0-4.4
South 2Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,00024%37%38%2%-2.9-16.8-2.5+22.3
South 3Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,00026%25%39%10%-8.6-1.1-21.8+31.5
South 4Ishii Kazuma ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta28%25%24%23%-12.0-43.1+52.5+2.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)