Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/20 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+72.5pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -3.8 | +0.5 | +3.6 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 24% | 29% | 26% | -8.7 | +16.2 | -4.0 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,100 | 16% | 36% | 25% | 23% | +0.4 | -2.6 | +6.1 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 34% | 30% | 20% | -11.8 | -20.1 | +45.2 | -13.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 13% | 71% | 10% | -7.9 | -2.8 | -9.3 | +20.1 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 6% | 13% | 62% | 19% | -1.2 | +4.8 | +5.0 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 16,000 | 5% | 14% | 70% | 12% | -16.6 | -6.0 | +28.2 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 3% | 95% | 2% | -5.7 | +25.7 | -7.1 | -12.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 0% | 11% | 88% | 1% | +5.3 | +22.3 | -7.7 | -19.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 30% | 70% | 0% | -4.3 | +32.1 | -23.3 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 75% | 24% | 0% | -3.7 | -1.3 | -2.0 | +7.0 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 79% | 21% | 0% | -7.3 | +4.8 | -11.8 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 95% | 5% | 1% | -1.4 | -3.8 | +4.2 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 88% | 11% | 1% | +4.4 | +3.8 | -4.6 | -3.6 |