Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | +3.7 | -2.1 | +1.2 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 23% | 27% | 22% | -3.4 | +5.6 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 27% | 28% | 22% | +0.9 | +9.9 | -0.9 | -9.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 34% | 25% | 16% | -0.4 | -39.7 | -0.3 | +40.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 9% | 24% | 45% | -4.1 | -4.0 | -12.2 | +20.3 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 6% | 11% | 68% | -4.8 | -3.3 | +14.7 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 14% | 6% | 20% | 61% | +9.7 | -0.5 | 0.0 | -9.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 6% | 22% | 51% | +7.7 | -1.0 | -1.8 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 28% | 6% | 22% | 44% | +37.3 | +0.6 | -31.7 | -6.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 4% | 5% | 28% | -15.9 | -12.1 | +31.8 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 48% | 3% | 19% | 30% | -4.6 | +2.2 | +6.5 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 3% | 25% | 28% | +34.4 | -12.8 | -10.7 | -10.9 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 0% | 8% | 8% | -11.8 | -6.0 | +30.6 | -12.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 66% | 0% | 28% | 6% | +5.5 | +6.5 | -7.3 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 80% | 0% | 16% | 4% | -6.3 | -1.3 | +4.9 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 68% | 0% | 26% | 6% | -4.0 | -2.1 | -3.7 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 16,000 | 65% | 0% | 23% | 12% | +10.7 | +17.2 | -10.3 | -17.6 |