Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/21 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +37.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +3.1 | -2.6 | +4.0 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 28% | 22% | -4.2 | +7.4 | -2.8 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 28% | 25% | 23% | +0.1 | +7.9 | +0.4 | -8.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 33% | 26% | 18% | +1.6 | -39.7 | +1.6 | +36.4 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 9% | 26% | 43% | -7.3 | -3.1 | -14.2 | +24.7 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 6% | 11% | 70% | -3.6 | -4.2 | +14.0 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 12% | 5% | 20% | 63% | +12.3 | -0.1 | +0.6 | -12.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 7% | 22% | 49% | +6.2 | -2.2 | -2.7 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 27% | 6% | 21% | 46% | +37.1 | +1.7 | -32.3 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 3% | 4% | 29% | -15.5 | -11.9 | +34.1 | -6.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 3% | 20% | 29% | -4.5 | +2.9 | +5.8 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 4% | 25% | 28% | +35.2 | -13.9 | -11.4 | -10.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 0% | 6% | 8% | -12.3 | -5.7 | +30.8 | -12.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 66% | 0% | 28% | 6% | +5.6 | +5.9 | -7.5 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 0% | 15% | 4% | -6.8 | -1.1 | +6.0 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,000 | 67% | 0% | 27% | 6% | -4.5 | -1.8 | -3.7 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 16,000 | 65% | 0% | 24% | 11% | +11.4 | +17.1 | -10.9 | -17.6 |