Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -9.3 | +15.0 | -4.2 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,500 | 19% | 36% | 22% | 24% | -1.2 | +4.6 | -1.1 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 40% | 21% | 21% | -1.2 | -3.4 | +6.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 36% | 25% | 21% | -6.7 | +27.6 | -14.0 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa | 11% | 64% | 12% | 13% | -0.9 | +13.3 | -11.4 | -1.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 7% | 79% | 6% | 8% | -1.5 | +6.9 | -0.7 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 89% | 4% | 5% | -10.2 | -12.9 | -10.4 | +33.5 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 76% | 4% | 20% | -1.4 | -23.1 | -13.8 | +38.2 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 0% | 23% | 0% | 77% | +5.5 | -8.7 | -5.3 | +8.5 |