Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+75.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Arisa Date tsumo 24,000, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +65.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -6.1 | -1.9 | +2.0 | +6.0 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 19% | 24% | 27% | 30% | -21.9 | +21.6 | -0.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 38% | 24% | 29% | +37.9 | -17.5 | -13.8 | -6.6 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 24,000 | 30% | 27% | 17% | 26% | -22.8 | -21.8 | +65.5 | -20.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 8% | 72% | 10% | -6.8 | -5.0 | -10.0 | +21.8 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 10% | 7% | 64% | 19% | -0.8 | +4.3 | +3.0 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 9% | 69% | 14% | +4.0 | -2.9 | -3.4 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 10% | 9% | 66% | 16% | -4.9 | +12.4 | -8.0 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 7% | 16% | 58% | 20% | -21.7 | -1.4 | +25.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 90% | 7% | -5.1 | -5.0 | +16.1 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +5.8 | -1.6 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 4,500 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +19.2 | -28.9 | +1.1 | +8.7 |