Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+75.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Date Arisa tsumo 24,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +63.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -8.9 | -0.9 | +0.4 | +9.4 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu | 19% | 24% | 26% | 31% | -20.5 | +21.8 | -1.9 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 39% | 22% | 29% | +36.4 | -19.9 | -8.0 | -8.4 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 24,000 | 30% | 25% | 20% | 25% | -23.3 | -21.0 | +63.8 | -19.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 8% | 74% | 9% | -5.4 | -3.4 | -13.2 | +22.0 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 10% | 9% | 61% | 20% | -3.1 | +4.3 | +4.1 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 7% | 9% | 68% | 16% | +5.3 | -2.9 | -3.1 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 10% | 9% | 64% | 17% | -5.4 | +11.1 | -6.7 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 7% | 14% | 59% | 20% | -20.4 | -1.3 | +24.8 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 90% | 8% | -4.9 | -4.8 | +16.0 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +5.7 | -1.1 | -2.4 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 4,500 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +18.9 | -29.2 | +1.1 | +9.2 |