Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Table B Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 27% | 24% | 22% | 27% | -25.8 | +22.6 | +2.0 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 10% | 41% | 23% | 26% | -10.3 | +0.2 | +10.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 6% | 41% | 28% | 25% | +4.2 | -5.0 | +6.9 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 36% | 35% | 21% | -2.9 | -2.4 | +6.0 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 33% | 40% | 20% | -1.8 | -3.0 | -5.7 | +10.5 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 31% | 35% | 28% | +18.4 | -5.4 | -0.1 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 14% | 29% | 38% | 19% | +5.4 | -1.1 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 28% | 34% | 20% | -21.4 | +42.2 | -11.3 | -9.5 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 73% | 16% | 8% | -8.8 | -9.1 | -7.2 | +25.1 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 64% | 13% | 22% | -3.4 | +4.5 | -11.6 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 74% | 3% | 23% | -3.8 | +13.7 | -1.0 | -8.9 |