Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Table B Game 1
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -27.1 | +23.8 | +0.4 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 9% | 42% | 23% | 26% | -9.0 | -2.4 | +11.5 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 38% | 30% | 24% | +0.8 | -1.5 | +4.6 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 38% | 34% | 21% | +0.4 | -3.9 | +7.3 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 33% | 41% | 19% | -3.6 | -3.4 | -5.4 | +12.4 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 30% | 36% | 28% | +17.7 | -3.9 | -2.4 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 30% | 36% | 21% | +7.5 | -2.6 | 0.0 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 28% | 36% | 19% | -22.2 | +42.2 | -12.3 | -7.7 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 73% | 16% | 9% | -7.8 | -9.3 | -8.0 | +25.1 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 63% | 14% | 21% | -3.7 | +5.3 | -12.0 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 75% | 2% | 22% | -3.3 | +13.1 | -0.9 | -8.9 |