Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/23 Table B Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+75.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +3.6 | -3.5 | -3.8 | +3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 23% | 22% | 28% | +3.0 | +3.0 | +1.4 | -7.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 30% | 25% | 23% | 22% | -1.8 | +14.7 | -11.5 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 35% | 16% | 21% | -2.8 | -4.4 | +0.6 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 26% | 31% | 17% | 26% | -2.6 | -34.8 | +40.2 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 22% | 10% | 46% | 22% | -1.0 | -8.1 | +11.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 19% | 6% | 57% | 19% | +36.4 | +2.8 | -8.9 | -30.3 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 5% | 41% | 5% | -5.8 | +19.7 | -0.7 | -13.2 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 12% | 42% | 2% | +31.3 | -9.0 | -17.0 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 4% | 15% | 1% | -5.1 | -7.7 | -4.7 | +17.5 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 80% | 3% | 13% | 3% | +14.9 | +0.4 | -16.2 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 95% | 0% | 3% | 2% | +4.1 | -0.5 | +1.4 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +1.2 | +1.4 | +6.8 | -9.4 |