Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/23 Table B Game 2

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+75.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +36.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Sonoda Ken● Shibukawa Namba● Ooi Takaharu● Suzuki Daisuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Sonoda● Shibukawa● Ooi● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Suzuki Daisuke
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Suzuki Daisuke
Expected pt change
East 1Draw23%26%26%26%+4.2-4.5-1.6+1.9
East 1, 1 honbaDraw27%23%24%26%+6.6+3.5-2.4-7.6
East 1, 2 honbaShibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu32%25%23%21%-4.5+10.5-8.7+2.7
East 2Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken28%32%18%23%-4.0-0.10.0+4.1
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba25%31%19%25%-0.5-34.0+38.3-3.8
East 3, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba23%10%45%21%-2.2-7.0+11.2-2.0
East 3, 2 honbaSonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke20%7%56%18%+36.5+0.6-6.8-30.3
East 4Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,00047%5%43%5%-4.9+19.5-3.6-11.0
South 1Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,00045%11%41%3%+30.1-10.4-14.9-4.8
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,00079%5%15%1%-5.0-6.9-4.5+16.3
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu79%3%14%3%+15.3+0.6-16.2+0.3
South 3Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,10095%0%4%1%+4.2-1.0+0.4-3.6
South 4Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu99%0%0%1%+1.1+2.3+6.9-10.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)