Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -6.1 | +5.6 | +1.8 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 22% | 27% | 26% | 25% | +40.3 | -5.8 | -32.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 54% | 18% | 8% | 20% | -6.8 | +1.8 | -4.6 | +9.6 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 48% | 20% | 6% | 26% | +15.6 | -3.2 | -2.3 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 66% | 14% | 5% | 15% | +1.2 | -23.4 | +21.8 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 6% | 9% | 14% | -11.0 | +39.9 | -16.3 | -12.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 27% | 6% | 11% | -4.8 | -24.5 | +42.5 | -13.3 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 54% | 11% | 26% | 9% | +21.5 | -3.6 | -11.0 | -6.9 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 88% | 3% | 5% | 5% | +9.6 | -3.5 | +5.2 | -11.2 |