Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+61.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -2.0 | +0.3 | +2.8 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 23% | 26% | 27% | 25% | +37.5 | -3.3 | -33.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 55% | 18% | 8% | 20% | -7.4 | +0.4 | -3.3 | +10.3 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 48% | 19% | 6% | 27% | +15.6 | -2.5 | -3.1 | -10.1 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 65% | 15% | 4% | 16% | +3.2 | -24.9 | +23.9 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 6% | 10% | 12% | -11.1 | +39.9 | -16.5 | -12.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 25% | 6% | 11% | -7.0 | -22.5 | +41.0 | -11.5 |
| South 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 54% | 12% | 26% | 9% | +21.7 | -4.8 | -11.2 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 3% | 5% | 6% | +10.5 | -2.7 | +5.5 | -13.4 |