Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +6.8 | -2.2 | -2.7 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 29% | 24% | 23% | 24% | -1.8 | -13.8 | +13.8 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 26% | 15% | 33% | 26% | +1.8 | -2.3 | -6.1 | +6.5 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 14% | 29% | 29% | -5.4 | +23.1 | -13.8 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 28% | 20% | 28% | -0.6 | -1.6 | +8.2 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 28% | 25% | 23% | -10.9 | +19.4 | -5.4 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 44% | 21% | 21% | +6.9 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 42% | 20% | 19% | -6.1 | -4.4 | +5.2 | +5.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 18% | 38% | 21% | 23% | -3.8 | +9.0 | -19.8 | +14.6 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 51% | 10% | 25% | -3.4 | +24.8 | -16.6 | -4.8 |