Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +4.3 | -3.2 | -0.4 | -0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 29% | 22% | 24% | 25% | -1.2 | -12.1 | +13.5 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 27% | 17% | 32% | 24% | -0.5 | -3.7 | -4.5 | +8.6 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 13% | 30% | 30% | -4.3 | +24.7 | -15.0 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 29% | 19% | 27% | -2.5 | -2.1 | +9.8 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 27% | 27% | 23% | -10.1 | +18.7 | -5.8 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 43% | 21% | 21% | +9.2 | -1.7 | -3.6 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 20% | 42% | 19% | 19% | -6.8 | -4.9 | +5.2 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 17% | 38% | 22% | 23% | -4.2 | +9.6 | -19.2 | +13.7 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 52% | 10% | 24% | -3.8 | +24.7 | -16.8 | -4.1 |