Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Table B Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Tomohiro Honda ron 18,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.5 | -2.9 | +11.9 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 18,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 21% | 23% | 34% | 23% | -2.0 | +43.8 | -2.5 | -39.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 58% | 25% | 5% | +5.6 | -3.6 | +0.7 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 54% | 25% | 5% | -3.7 | +2.8 | -6.7 | +7.6 |
| East 4 | Megumu Aikawa ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 15% | 60% | 20% | 6% | -1.1 | -9.9 | +13.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 49% | 31% | 5% | +3.3 | +4.1 | -3.5 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa | 16% | 53% | 28% | 4% | +13.8 | -0.7 | -13.7 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 53% | 17% | 4% | -14.7 | +24.5 | -5.1 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Akina Mizuhara | 7% | 84% | 8% | 2% | -0.3 | +4.0 | -2.8 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa | 5% | 87% | 7% | 1% | -4.6 | +3.5 | +1.6 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa | 2% | 91% | 6% | 1% | -2.4 | +4.6 | -2.3 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 94% | 4% | 1% | -5.5 | +14.8 | -5.1 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | +26.2 | -8.9 | -11.7 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 2% | 97% | 1% | 0% | +4.5 | +0.9 | -1.4 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +2.1 | +1.0 | -0.2 | -2.8 |