Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/24 Table B Game 1

Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +44.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance	Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance	Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance	Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance	Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change	Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change	Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change	Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change
East 1	Aikawa Megumu tsumo 4,000	25%	23%	26%	27%	-7.6	0.0	+10.3	-2.7
East 2	Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Mizuhara Akina	20%	23%	31%	25%	-1.2	+44.0	-1.6	-41.1
East 2, 1 honba	Draw	14%	57%	24%	5%	+4.6	-5.1	+2.3	-1.8
East 3, 2 honba	Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000	16%	53%	26%	6%	-3.0	+2.0	-7.3	+8.2
East 4	Aikawa Megumu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro	15%	57%	20%	7%	+0.6	-9.0	+13.5	-5.1
South 1	Draw	16%	48%	33%	4%	+4.6	+3.4	-5.5	-2.5
South 1, 1 honba	Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Aikawa Megumu	18%	52%	27%	4%	+12.5	+1.3	-13.3	-0.5
South 1, 2 honba	Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000	27%	53%	17%	4%	-15.9	+25.2	-5.5	-3.8
South 2	Honda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Mizuhara Akina	6%	84%	8%	2%	-0.5	+4.0	-1.8	-1.7
South 2, 1 honba	Honda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba	4%	89%	6%	1%	-3.0	+2.6	+0.3	+0.2
South 2, 2 honba	Honda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba	3%	91%	5%	1%	-4.3	+4.0	-0.9	+1.2
South 2, 3 honba	Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000	1%	93%	4%	1%	-4.6	+15.7	-6.6	-4.5
South 2, 4 honba	Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000	0%	99%	1%	0%	+25.6	-9.6	-9.0	-6.9
South 3	Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina	2%	97%	1%	0%	+4.4	+1.7	-2.4	-3.7
South 4	Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Aikawa Megumu	1%	99%	0%	0%	+2.3	+0.7	-0.4	-2.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)