Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Table B Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +27.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +7.6 | -3.3 | -2.5 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -1.7 | +4.4 | -4.6 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 29% | 26% | 20% | 25% | -19.3 | -4.4 | +24.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 21% | 39% | 23% | +0.2 | +0.3 | -26.1 | +25.6 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 17% | 21% | 17% | 45% | -28.2 | -0.3 | +1.0 | +27.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 13% | 12% | 72% | -3.5 | +6.8 | -1.9 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 16% | 10% | 71% | -10.0 | -11.8 | +23.4 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 9% | 21% | 70% | +1.7 | -7.1 | +6.2 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 4% | 24% | 72% | -1.7 | -0.6 | -9.5 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 93% | -3.9 | -5.3 | -6.6 | +15.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.9 | +26.8 | -19.0 | -5.0 |