Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/24 Table B Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +11.3 | -3.7 | -3.4 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 33% | 22% | 23% | 22% | -5.0 | +5.8 | -4.6 | +3.8 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 28% | 25% | 21% | 26% | -20.6 | -2.9 | +23.9 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 22% | 38% | 24% | +0.1 | 0.0 | -24.4 | +24.3 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 15% | 22% | 18% | 45% | -27.1 | +0.1 | -1.6 | +28.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 14% | 11% | 71% | -2.1 | +4.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 15% | 9% | 73% | -10.6 | -10.3 | +24.2 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 9% | 22% | 68% | +1.2 | -7.7 | +4.5 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 4% | 23% | 74% | -1.4 | +0.4 | -9.5 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 6% | 93% | -3.4 | -6.7 | -5.9 | +16.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.1 | +27.6 | -18.9 | -5.5 |