Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/27 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +24.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Ooi Takaharu● Hagiwara Masato● Sasaki Hisato● Katsumata Kenji0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Ooi● Hagiwara● Sasaki● Katsumata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00024%27%24%25%-11.3-10.2-2.7+24.3
East 2Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato15%19%21%45%+0.3-22.9+20.6+2.0
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato14%7%34%45%+0.9-15.8-4.6+19.5
East 4Draw11%2%24%63%-0.5-1.3+5.4-3.6
South 1, 1 honbaDraw11%3%27%60%-5.8+0.2+6.8-1.2
South 2, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji6%3%33%58%+0.6-6.3-11.1+16.9
South 3Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,0002%0%14%84%-4.6-2.0+13.4-6.8
South 3, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,0002%0%27%72%-13.5+22.9-14.1+4.7
South 4Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji0%0%9%90%+11.9-11.3-3.3+2.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)