Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -14.0 | -7.1 | -2.5 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 16% | 20% | 21% | 44% | +2.1 | -24.8 | +21.4 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 16% | 7% | 34% | 43% | -2.0 | -15.2 | -4.1 | +21.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 2% | 24% | 63% | +0.4 | -1.6 | +4.5 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 3% | 26% | 61% | -5.4 | -0.2 | +7.1 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 3% | 33% | 60% | -1.5 | -4.5 | -10.6 | +16.5 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 0% | 14% | 85% | -3.9 | -3.1 | +14.3 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 28% | 71% | -12.6 | +22.9 | -15.7 | +5.4 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 0% | 8% | 91% | +11.8 | -11.1 | -3.1 | +2.4 |