Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +7.8 | +1.1 | -9.8 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,100 | 31% | 25% | 19% | 24% | -5.6 | -0.9 | +8.2 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | +5.8 | -6.7 | -2.9 | +3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 32% | 19% | 22% | 27% | -2.5 | +16.0 | -14.2 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 30% | 13% | 29% | -3.1 | +19.3 | -4.3 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 23% | 49% | 10% | 18% | +8.9 | -5.8 | -0.8 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Suzuki Daisuke | 32% | 41% | 11% | 17% | +26.0 | -25.2 | +0.1 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 62% | 17% | 8% | 13% | +24.5 | +0.6 | -25.6 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 84% | 9% | 1% | 6% | -1.8 | +6.5 | -2.0 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Draw | 85% | 9% | 1% | 5% | -2.0 | +4.8 | -0.9 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 12% | 1% | 5% | +1.2 | -11.7 | +15.8 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 90% | 3% | 3% | 4% | +3.0 | +5.7 | -8.3 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 9,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 97% | 1% | 0% | 3% | -1.8 | -6.7 | -13.2 | +21.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 92% | 1% | 0% | 7% | +3.2 | +10.3 | +4.3 | -17.9 |