Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/28 Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +26.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +11.9 | +0.9 | -12.2 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 1,100 | 33% | 25% | 18% | 24% | -7.0 | -1.1 | +7.2 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 22% | 26% | +5.8 | -5.1 | -3.2 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 33% | 21% | 20% | 27% | -2.7 | +14.8 | -11.8 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 30% | 14% | 26% | -3.2 | +18.5 | -5.9 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 47% | 10% | 18% | +8.4 | -3.5 | -1.0 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki | 32% | 44% | 9% | 15% | +26.9 | -26.3 | +0.4 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 62% | 17% | 8% | 13% | +24.5 | -1.3 | -24.7 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 7% | 1% | 6% | -2.3 | +6.9 | -1.8 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 9% | 1% | 4% | -2.5 | +6.4 | -1.7 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 81% | 13% | 1% | 5% | +1.8 | -12.1 | +16.4 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 90% | 3% | 2% | 4% | +2.5 | +4.9 | -7.7 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 9,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | -1.4 | -5.6 | -13.5 | +20.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | +3.0 | +9.5 | +4.3 | -16.9 |