Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/28 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +65.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +5.0 | +2.8 | -6.3 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,900 from Nakada Kana | 28% | 26% | 21% | 24% | +10.9 | +1.2 | -13.4 | +1.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 26% | 14% | 24% | -12.3 | -6.6 | -3.8 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 21% | 12% | 42% | +23.3 | -12.6 | -6.2 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 3,900 | 43% | 13% | 9% | 35% | -2.0 | -4.2 | +10.4 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 11% | 13% | 33% | -1.6 | +8.7 | -6.1 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 42% | 15% | 10% | 34% | +0.1 | +4.4 | -2.0 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 43% | 18% | 9% | 30% | -9.5 | -6.3 | +16.2 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 15% | 18% | 32% | +18.9 | -10.6 | -6.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 7,800 | 57% | 6% | 12% | 26% | -8.9 | -9.6 | +29.9 | -11.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 6,400 from Watanabe Futoshi | 45% | 5% | 29% | 21% | -32.4 | -3.9 | +0.7 | +35.6 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 3% | 26% | 59% | +65.9 | -9.4 | -8.0 | -48.5 |