Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -9.8 | -7.1 | +20.4 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 21% | 40% | 22% | -7.4 | +22.7 | -6.4 | -8.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 14% | 35% | 34% | 17% | -1.2 | -14.4 | +13.1 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 23% | 46% | 18% | +0.9 | +24.2 | -23.8 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 13% | 45% | 25% | 17% | -1.1 | +15.4 | -1.3 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 11% | 63% | 19% | 7% | +7.5 | -3.4 | -1.1 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 58% | 20% | 8% | -21.4 | -1.6 | -7.6 | +30.5 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 59% | 16% | 20% | -1.6 | +3.6 | -0.3 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 63% | 14% | 19% | +43.1 | -19.2 | -13.5 | -10.4 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 40% | 12% | 18% | -4.0 | +6.7 | -15.5 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 22% | 54% | 3% | 21% | -27.1 | +30.5 | -6.0 | +2.6 |