Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -11.8 | -5.7 | +20.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 19% | 40% | 22% | -7.6 | +21.6 | -6.0 | -8.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 13% | 35% | 34% | 18% | +0.5 | -12.9 | +10.6 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 24% | 45% | 19% | -1.4 | +25.9 | -22.9 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 12% | 48% | 23% | 17% | -1.4 | +12.5 | +1.7 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 62% | 22% | 8% | +6.0 | -3.0 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 58% | 21% | 9% | -18.5 | -1.6 | -6.8 | +26.9 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 58% | 17% | 21% | -0.1 | +3.8 | -2.3 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 63% | 14% | 19% | +40.9 | -16.8 | -13.8 | -10.3 |
| South 3 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 45% | 12% | 17% | -3.2 | +6.3 | -16.0 | +13.0 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 21% | 56% | 3% | 21% | -26.6 | +28.9 | -4.9 | +2.7 |