Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +31.2 | -10.6 | -9.2 | -11.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 50% | 16% | 18% | 17% | -2.7 | +13.4 | -7.5 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,100 | 47% | 24% | 14% | 15% | +9.3 | -3.5 | -5.6 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 18% | 11% | 14% | +25.6 | -5.7 | -13.0 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 85% | 7% | 3% | 6% | -3.6 | +12.3 | -2.9 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 82% | 12% | 2% | 3% | +0.4 | -0.5 | +17.4 | -17.3 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 3,900 | 85% | 10% | 4% | 2% | -3.1 | +7.6 | -1.7 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 80% | 14% | 4% | 1% | +2.7 | -6.5 | +7.9 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 6% | 5% | 1% | -2.0 | -2.7 | +6.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 86% | 6% | 7% | 1% | +7.6 | +0.6 | -5.4 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -0.7 | -3.6 | +3.3 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 97% | 2% | 0% | 1% | -2.0 | -13.0 | +19.2 | -4.2 |