Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+63.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | +31.6 | -12.0 | -10.5 | -9.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 50% | 16% | 17% | 17% | -4.0 | +12.6 | -7.2 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,100 | 46% | 24% | 14% | 16% | +8.5 | -2.6 | -5.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 18% | 11% | 15% | +25.8 | -6.4 | -12.6 | -6.9 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 82% | 8% | 3% | 7% | -2.4 | +12.6 | -4.0 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 82% | 13% | 2% | 4% | +1.2 | -0.7 | +18.5 | -19.0 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,900 | 86% | 9% | 4% | 2% | -3.3 | +8.7 | -3.2 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000 | 81% | 14% | 3% | 2% | +2.6 | -7.4 | +8.7 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 88% | 6% | 5% | 1% | -2.0 | -2.6 | +6.2 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 86% | 6% | 7% | 1% | +7.8 | +0.2 | -4.7 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -1.4 | -3.6 | +2.9 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 97% | 2% | 0% | 1% | -1.8 | -12.8 | +19.1 | -4.5 |