Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Table B Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+56.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +23.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.8 | -3.6 | -4.8 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 16% | 22% | 21% | 41% | +22.3 | -4.0 | +1.7 | -19.9 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 32% | 19% | 23% | 27% | +17.2 | -13.4 | -4.0 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 47% | 11% | 17% | 25% | +8.5 | -5.6 | +0.6 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 8% | 16% | 18% | -14.4 | -7.1 | +27.8 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 39% | 7% | 38% | 16% | +2.6 | -11.9 | +9.5 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 40% | 1% | 47% | 13% | +8.7 | -3.5 | -7.6 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Asami Maki | 54% | 0% | 32% | 13% | +23.1 | -1.5 | -10.1 | -11.6 |