Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/30 Table B Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -12.6 | +25.8 | -9.1 | -4.1 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 44% | 18% | 22% | -1.8 | -5.9 | -2.2 | +10.0 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 39% | 17% | 29% | +10.4 | +1.6 | -12.3 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 20% | 40% | 10% | 29% | +25.1 | -23.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 21% | 9% | 28% | +8.0 | +1.0 | -4.0 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 20% | 8% | 23% | -25.3 | +43.8 | -8.8 | -9.7 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 64% | 5% | 13% | +23.7 | -6.5 | -14.1 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 49% | 2% | 9% | -14.2 | +26.5 | -8.5 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 6% | 90% | 0% | 4% | +7.8 | +4.4 | +0.6 | -12.9 |