Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/30 Table B Game 2

Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +43.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Mari Takamiya● Hiroshi Daigo● Ken Sonoda● Takaharu Ooi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Mari● Hiroshi● Ken● Takaharu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,00025%24%24%26%-12.6+25.8-9.1-4.1
East 2Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,00016%44%18%22%-1.8-5.9-2.2+10.0
East 3Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda15%39%17%29%+10.4+1.6-12.3+0.2
East 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya20%40%10%29%+25.1-23.9-0.6-0.7
South 1Exhaustive draw42%21%9%28%+8.0+1.0-4.0-5.0
South 1, 1 honbaMari Takamiya tsumo 12,00049%20%8%23%-25.3+43.8-8.8-9.7
South 2Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda18%64%5%13%+23.7-6.5-14.1-3.0
South 3Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,00040%49%2%9%-14.2+26.5-8.5-3.8
South 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi6%90%0%4%+7.8+4.4+0.6-12.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)