Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/31 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +54.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +1.2 | +1.8 | -1.8 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 27% | 26% | 23% | 23% | -2.5 | +10.7 | -0.5 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 33% | 23% | 19% | +0.2 | -4.6 | -1.1 | +5.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 25% | 30% | 23% | 22% | -1.9 | +10.1 | -4.4 | -3.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 38% | 19% | 20% | +1.6 | +5.8 | +1.6 | -9.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 18,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 43% | 20% | 13% | +54.5 | -9.5 | -43.6 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 74% | 20% | 1% | 5% | -10.8 | -6.7 | +26.8 | -9.3 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 68% | 19% | 8% | 6% | -1.6 | +7.1 | -0.4 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato | 65% | 24% | 6% | 5% | -6.2 | +20.3 | -16.1 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 50% | 44% | 3% | 3% | +1.9 | +3.3 | -2.9 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 49% | 46% | 2% | 3% | +2.8 | -3.1 | -6.4 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 54% | 41% | 1% | 3% | +2.3 | -4.1 | -15.4 | +17.3 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 60% | 33% | 0% | 7% | +17.0 | -11.2 | +12.6 | -18.4 |