Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/31 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +22.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.7 | -0.5 | +3.8 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 27% | 26% | -4.0 | +8.7 | -2.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 31% | 25% | 24% | -4.8 | -15.8 | -5.7 | +26.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 18% | 20% | 45% | -1.8 | -2.8 | +7.9 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 17% | 25% | 42% | -7.0 | -7.7 | +21.5 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 12% | 12% | 41% | 35% | +8.4 | -1.3 | -5.2 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 15% | 13% | 39% | 33% | -3.6 | -1.6 | +6.9 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 11% | 45% | 30% | -13.8 | -5.7 | -11.6 | +31.1 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 6% | 25% | 65% | -4.3 | -5.3 | +4.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 1% | 24% | 73% | -4.4 | -2.4 | +22.8 | -16.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 59% | 40% | +8.8 | -6.5 | +3.3 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 72% | 28% | +5.3 | -8.3 | +14.9 | -12.0 |