Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/31 Table B Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +53.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Hori Shingo● Ooi Takaharu● Miura Tomohiro● Asai Takaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hori● Ooi● Miura● Asai
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHori Shingo
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Asai Takaki
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Asai Takaki
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%24%25%26%+6.5-1.7-3.1-1.8
East 1, 1 honbaMiura Tomohiro ron 6,400 from Asai Takaki29%23%23%25%-0.5+0.3+17.5-17.3
East 2Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00028%21%36%15%+23.3-13.2-4.7-5.4
East 3Hori Shingo tsumo 1,10049%12%29%10%+5.6-0.9-5.0+0.2
East 4Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Miura Tomohiro55%11%23%11%+3.0+2.0+0.1-5.2
South 1Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Miura Tomohiro60%11%22%7%+2.9+2.6-5.0-0.5
South 1, 1 honbaMiura Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki63%12%18%7%-0.3-2.2+14.4-11.9
South 2Asai Takaki tsumo 32,00063%9%25%3%-27.9-40.3-25.0+93.3
South 3Asai Takaki tsumo 1,10016%0%8%76%-3.1-0.4-5.4+8.9
South 4Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu6%0%0%94%+53.5-12.0-2.7-38.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)