Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/31 Table B Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +53.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Shingo Hori● Takaharu Ooi● Tomohiro Miura● Takaki Asai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shingo● Takaharu● Tomohiro● Takaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%25%24%25%+5.9-2.3-1.7-1.9
East 1, 1 honbaTomohiro Miura ron 6,400 from Takaki Asai30%24%24%22%-2.0+0.3+17.6-15.9
East 2Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00028%22%35%15%+24.1-11.1-7.4-5.6
East 3Shingo Hori tsumo 1,10048%14%26%11%+4.7-1.4-1.6-1.8
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Miura55%12%23%9%+3.3+0.7-1.2-2.8
South 1Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Tomohiro Miura60%12%21%7%+4.1-0.2-5.0+1.0
South 1, 1 honbaTomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai64%11%17%8%-1.7-0.4+15.0-12.8
South 2Takaki Asai tsumo 32,00062%10%25%4%-28.8-39.6-24.5+92.8
South 3Takaki Asai tsumo 1,10015%0%8%77%-2.0-0.9-5.6+8.5
South 4Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi6%0%0%94%+53.7-12.1-3.1-38.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)