Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/3 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+81.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Nakada Kana tsumo 24,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +52.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 27% | 23% | -11.9 | -3.6 | +24.0 | -8.4 |
| East 2 | Aikawa Megumu ron 2,400 from Suzuki Yu | 16% | 22% | 43% | 19% | -1.0 | +3.7 | -5.2 | +2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 16% | 24% | 39% | 21% | +0.3 | -2.0 | +22.5 | -20.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 13% | 17% | 60% | 10% | -0.8 | +0.9 | +4.7 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu | 11% | 17% | 64% | 7% | +25.3 | -1.8 | -17.1 | -6.3 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Aikawa Megumu | 30% | 18% | 46% | 6% | +8.4 | -6.7 | +2.3 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 24,000 | 35% | 13% | 49% | 4% | +52.3 | -16.9 | -26.5 | -9.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 1,500 from Aikawa Megumu | 91% | 2% | 6% | 1% | +1.7 | -2.9 | +0.7 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 92% | 2% | 6% | 1% | -5.0 | -10.4 | -5.9 | +21.2 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 5% | 2% | +15.0 | -11.9 | -1.0 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,000 | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -1.3 | -1.3 | +5.4 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | +6.4 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -8.2 | +23.0 | +2.2 | -17.0 |