Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/3 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+81.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kana Nakada tsumo 24,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +52.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | -6.1 | +24.5 | -7.6 |
| East 2 | Megumu Aikawa ron 2,400 from Yu Suzuki | 16% | 20% | 43% | 20% | -0.1 | +5.9 | -7.4 | +1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 16% | 24% | 37% | 22% | +0.2 | -2.3 | +25.8 | -23.7 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 13% | 17% | 62% | 9% | +1.5 | -1.3 | +3.8 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 13% | 15% | 65% | 8% | +21.1 | -1.4 | -16.3 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Megumu Aikawa | 28% | 17% | 48% | 7% | +8.5 | -6.0 | +2.2 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 24,000 | 34% | 13% | 49% | 4% | +52.7 | -15.5 | -27.5 | -9.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 1,500 from Megumu Aikawa | 90% | 2% | 7% | 1% | +3.0 | -2.6 | +0.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 92% | 2% | 6% | 1% | -5.1 | -11.2 | -3.9 | +20.3 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 1% | 6% | 1% | +15.1 | -12.0 | -3.0 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 98% | 0% | 2% | 0% | -1.4 | -0.9 | +4.7 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 98% | 0% | 2% | 1% | +6.8 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -8.3 | +23.6 | +2.2 | -17.5 |