Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+100.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: HIRO Shibata tsumo 18,000, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +41.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.2 | +1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -6.9 | -13.3 | +24.6 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 14% | 44% | 22% | -13.6 | -12.9 | +41.1 | -14.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 4% | 84% | 6% | -9.4 | -8.2 | -11.0 | +28.5 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 3% | 73% | 20% | -5.7 | -0.6 | +20.5 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 2% | 93% | 4% | +13.9 | -7.4 | -1.8 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 1% | 92% | 4% | 0.0 | +2.6 | -3.6 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 1% | 90% | 5% | +29.2 | -21.6 | -2.8 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 10% | 1% | 85% | 5% | -4.2 | -10.8 | +15.1 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +2.9 | +7.1 | -0.6 | -9.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,500 from Suzuki Daisuke | 2% | 0% | 97% | 1% | -0.5 | +3.2 | +0.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 1% | +7.7 | -6.3 | -1.0 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -6.2 | -5.3 | +18.8 | -7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.6 | +4.0 | -1.1 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.5 | +0.2 | +2.0 | -2.7 |