Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +61.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -4.1 | +1.4 | +22.2 | -19.5 |
| East 2 | Miura Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota | 21% | 23% | 41% | 15% | +3.7 | -15.8 | +14.7 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Miura Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Akutsu Shota | 21% | 12% | 55% | 12% | -3.1 | -4.2 | +7.4 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 17% | 9% | 64% | 11% | +4.2 | +26.0 | -28.0 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 27% | 37% | 13% | +1.3 | -2.4 | -2.1 | +3.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 26% | 34% | 14% | -18.7 | -21.6 | -21.5 | +61.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 11% | 11% | 16% | 62% | -2.4 | +8.1 | -3.6 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 11% | 14% | 13% | 62% | -2.1 | -24.7 | +2.5 | +24.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | -1.2 | +3.0 | +1.5 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 2% | 3% | 8% | 86% | -3.1 | -7.1 | +9.5 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 0% | 9% | 90% | -3.7 | -2.8 | +9.3 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 13% | 86% | -11.8 | +20.4 | -11.1 | +2.5 |
| South 4 | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 0% | 1% | 2% | 97% | -6.2 | +29.3 | -23.0 | -0.1 |