Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +61.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -4.3 | +0.7 | +20.8 | -17.1 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Miura ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 21% | 24% | 41% | 15% | +3.8 | -17.2 | +12.7 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,500 from Shota Akutsu | 21% | 11% | 54% | 14% | -0.7 | -3.6 | +7.5 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 19% | 9% | 61% | 11% | +0.1 | +26.5 | -24.8 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 27% | 37% | 13% | +4.1 | -3.3 | -4.3 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 34% | 15% | -19.5 | -20.5 | -21.0 | +61.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 10% | 15% | 63% | -2.4 | +4.9 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 11% | 12% | 14% | 64% | -1.3 | -22.9 | +0.3 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% | -2.3 | +3.0 | +1.9 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 2% | 3% | 7% | 88% | -2.0 | -6.9 | +9.8 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 0% | 9% | 90% | -4.1 | -2.6 | +9.2 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 13% | 86% | -12.5 | +21.4 | -11.5 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | -5.8 | +28.6 | -22.8 | +0.1 |