Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.3 | +0.2 | +12.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 17% | 24% | 34% | 25% | -11.4 | -1.7 | -2.5 | +15.6 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 12% | 22% | 30% | 36% | -1.9 | -7.8 | +12.9 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 17% | 41% | 33% | -3.0 | -4.3 | -5.5 | +12.8 |
| East 4 | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 14% | 35% | 43% | +9.3 | +1.9 | +3.6 | -14.9 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 17% | 41% | 31% | -6.4 | -3.9 | +9.4 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 7% | 12% | 52% | 30% | +29.2 | -4.2 | +5.3 | -30.2 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 21% | 8% | 59% | 12% | +32.1 | -0.5 | -9.9 | -21.7 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 18,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 57% | 3% | 36% | 4% | -4.2 | -37.0 | -3.0 | +44.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 51% | 0% | 32% | 17% | +3.2 | 0.0 | -7.2 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 58% | 0% | 23% | 19% | +24.6 | +0.5 | -3.5 | -21.6 |