Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -13.7 | +0.3 | +10.6 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 16% | 24% | 33% | 26% | -11.5 | -1.5 | -0.5 | +13.5 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 11% | 23% | 31% | 35% | -3.1 | -7.8 | +15.0 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 17% | 44% | 30% | -1.1 | -4.6 | -7.4 | +13.2 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 9% | 14% | 35% | 43% | +9.6 | 0.0 | +2.1 | -11.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 13% | 14% | 40% | 33% | -5.8 | -3.3 | +11.6 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 8% | 12% | 53% | 28% | +27.2 | -3.2 | +5.3 | -29.3 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 20% | 7% | 62% | 11% | +32.4 | -0.1 | -9.4 | -22.9 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 18,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 56% | 3% | 38% | 3% | -2.3 | -37.5 | -5.2 | +45.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 53% | 0% | 31% | 16% | +0.3 | -0.3 | -7.4 | +7.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 55% | 0% | 23% | 22% | +26.4 | +0.4 | -2.6 | -24.2 |