Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Table B Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tojyo Rio ron 18,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +37.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Asami Maki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -31.5 | -0.3 | +32.0 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 22% | 48% | 21% | -9.4 | +18.1 | -4.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 5% | 34% | 42% | 19% | +22.0 | -3.3 | -19.1 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 35% | 29% | 22% | +5.2 | -4.9 | +1.9 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 17% | 31% | 31% | 21% | -8.8 | +14.8 | -3.1 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 3,000 | 12% | 44% | 26% | 18% | -4.9 | -3.7 | -4.8 | +13.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Tojyo Rio | 10% | 39% | 23% | 28% | -0.3 | +0.4 | -21.9 | +21.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 38% | 10% | 43% | -10.7 | -19.6 | -12.1 | +42.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 9% | 2% | 86% | -3.1 | -1.7 | +5.8 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 1% | 7% | 3% | 89% | -12.3 | +0.8 | +10.3 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 6% | 4% | 91% | +1.8 | +2.0 | 0.0 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 88% | -4.9 | -12.3 | +17.8 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 18,000 from Asami Maki | 0% | 2% | 7% | 91% | -20.2 | -6.8 | +37.9 | -10.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 35% | 64% | +3.3 | -0.7 | -7.2 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 76% | -0.8 | -1.1 | +35.3 | -33.4 |