Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/6 Table B Game 1
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Rio Tojyo ron 18,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +40.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -30.2 | -0.6 | +31.3 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 22% | 48% | 22% | -8.1 | +16.3 | -4.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 5% | 32% | 43% | 20% | +20.6 | -0.9 | -20.9 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 35% | 28% | 22% | +3.8 | -2.1 | +0.4 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 17% | 34% | 28% | 22% | -7.2 | +11.4 | -3.6 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 3,000 | 13% | 44% | 23% | 21% | -6.5 | -1.6 | -1.4 | +9.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Rio Tojyo | 9% | 42% | 22% | 26% | +0.6 | -1.9 | -21.1 | +22.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 38% | 10% | 44% | -8.5 | -19.8 | -13.5 | +41.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 9% | 3% | 86% | -4.0 | -3.4 | +8.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 2% | 7% | 3% | 88% | -12.7 | +3.9 | +6.8 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 6% | 3% | 91% | +1.5 | +0.8 | +2.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 88% | -4.8 | -11.9 | +16.1 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 18,000 from Maki Asami | 0% | 2% | 7% | 92% | -20.4 | -7.3 | +40.7 | -13.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 39% | 61% | +3.7 | -0.5 | -11.4 | +8.1 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 81% | -1.2 | -0.9 | +37.6 | -35.5 |