Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/6 Table B Game 2

Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +25.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Sho Shiratori● Tomohiro Honda● Geki Shimoishi● Futoshi Watanabe0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sho● Tomohiro● Geki● Futoshi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Futoshi Watanabe
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Futoshi Watanabe
Expected pt change
East 1Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda25%25%25%24%-21.1-1.2+25.3-3.0
East 2Geki Shimoishi ron 4,800 from Futoshi Watanabe12%22%45%21%-2.0+13.6-1.7-9.9
East 2, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Honda11%31%42%17%-14.8+17.5-2.4-0.3
East 2, 2 honbaSho Shiratori tsumo 4,0005%45%36%13%-3.9-5.3+11.0-1.8
East 3Exhaustive draw4%38%47%12%-1.4+3.6-3.0+0.8
East 4, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda tsumo 2,0004%41%43%12%+4.9+0.5-0.8-4.6
South 1Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda4%43%43%9%-8.4+1.5+2.3+4.6
South 2Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda1%44%45%10%-8.8-2.1-0.7+11.6
South 3Exhaustive draw0%43%43%14%-0.1-10.2+5.5+4.7
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%28%53%19%+2.4-1.0+3.4-4.7
South 4, 2 honbaTomohiro Honda tsumo 12,0000%23%62%15%+34.4-9.6+13.4-38.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)