Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Aikawa Megumu | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -2.2 | -19.9 | +20.4 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 13% | 40% | 24% | -5.3 | -10.5 | +22.2 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 7,700 from Aikawa Megumu | 16% | 7% | 61% | 16% | -1.4 | -14.6 | +14.7 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 2% | 75% | 13% | -2.6 | +2.9 | +2.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 9% | 3% | 77% | 12% | +8.6 | -1.7 | -0.6 | -6.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 2% | 79% | 8% | -1.8 | -0.5 | -2.5 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 2% | 76% | 11% | -5.6 | +19.0 | +0.1 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 5% | 81% | 6% | -13.5 | +20.1 | +0.3 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 9% | 84% | 4% | -7.5 | +21.9 | -7.1 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 22% | 74% | 3% | -1.0 | +6.3 | -3.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 29% | 66% | 4% | +0.7 | -7.1 | +14.5 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 11% | 87% | 1% | -2.2 | +41.9 | -34.2 | -5.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 80% | 20% | 1% | -1.4 | -0.9 | -0.4 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 79% | 20% | 1% | -2.5 | -2.3 | -0.1 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 76% | 22% | 2% | -17.2 | -2.9 | -5.9 | +26.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 77% | 18% | 5% | -6.9 | -2.0 | -1.0 | +9.9 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 73% | 18% | 9% | -0.8 | -1.5 | -2.8 | +5.2 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 72% | 16% | 12% | -10.7 | -27.3 | +49.4 | -11.4 |