Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/7 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.2 | -18.7 | +22.5 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 12% | 41% | 24% | -4.1 | -11.9 | +19.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 7,700 from Megumu Aikawa | 16% | 6% | 59% | 19% | -0.3 | -14.5 | +15.9 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 2% | 75% | 13% | -4.4 | +4.0 | +1.9 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 3% | 77% | 13% | +9.5 | -1.9 | +0.3 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 2% | 79% | 9% | -1.2 | -0.6 | -1.5 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 2% | 77% | 10% | -5.1 | +18.2 | -1.6 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 5% | 79% | 6% | -13.6 | +20.8 | +0.9 | -8.1 |
| South 2 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 10% | 83% | 4% | -8.7 | +20.9 | -7.1 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 22% | 73% | 4% | -0.9 | +5.1 | -3.2 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 2% | 27% | 67% | 3% | +0.8 | -6.3 | +14.0 | -8.5 |
| South 3 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 10% | 87% | 2% | -2.3 | +41.8 | -33.7 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 78% | 21% | 1% | -1.8 | -0.6 | -0.7 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 78% | 21% | 1% | -2.0 | -1.9 | +0.3 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 75% | 24% | 1% | -17.6 | -3.0 | -6.5 | +27.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 77% | 18% | 5% | -6.5 | -0.9 | -1.2 | +8.5 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 75% | 17% | 8% | -0.8 | -3.5 | -2.2 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 71% | 17% | 13% | -10.7 | -26.5 | +49.0 | -11.8 |