Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/7 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -3.2 | -2.6 | -0.2 | +6.0 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 23% | 25% | 30% | -2.0 | +6.7 | -2.3 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko | 21% | 27% | 24% | 28% | -15.8 | -2.3 | +18.3 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 25% | 37% | 27% | +25.5 | -4.1 | -17.5 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 23% | 22% | 26% | -12.3 | -13.6 | -10.2 | +36.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 17% | 12% | 15% | 57% | -1.1 | +15.2 | -15.1 | +1.0 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from HIRO Shibata | 14% | 19% | 8% | 59% | -3.6 | -0.7 | -9.6 | +14.0 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 13% | 4% | 76% | -5.4 | +17.3 | -4.5 | -7.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 6% | 26% | 4% | 65% | +7.0 | -12.0 | -2.1 | +7.2 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 12% | 3% | 79% | -7.8 | +45.5 | -12.7 | -25.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 75% | 0% | 24% | -1.7 | +0.2 | -0.8 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 0% | 73% | 0% | 27% | -0.5 | +16.5 | -0.7 | -15.3 |