Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/7 Table B Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +24.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +5.8 | +0.7 | -9.3 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 30% | 26% | 19% | 26% | -22.7 | -1.4 | -0.8 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 22% | 18% | 46% | -1.2 | +7.0 | -2.5 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 28% | 17% | 41% | -3.6 | +3.2 | +3.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 13% | 30% | 19% | 38% | -0.8 | -26.5 | +24.8 | +2.4 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 6,400 from Mizuhara Akina | 12% | 13% | 35% | 40% | +0.8 | -13.5 | -2.7 | +15.4 |
| East 4 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 7% | 28% | 54% | -5.5 | -4.6 | +24.1 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 5% | 53% | 35% | +30.5 | -10.9 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 3% | 45% | 29% | -6.8 | -2.3 | +9.9 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 3% | 57% | 27% | -6.5 | -10.1 | +24.1 | -7.6 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 2% | 0% | 88% | 10% | -12.1 | +6.2 | +1.0 | +5.0 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -0.8 | -4.1 | +6.9 | -2.0 |