Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/7 Table B Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -10.3 | -1.5 | -0.5 | +12.3 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 18% | 24% | 24% | 34% | +0.8 | -5.6 | +1.7 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 17% | 19% | 25% | 38% | +0.4 | +1.1 | +32.0 | -33.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 18% | 52% | 14% | -3.1 | -4.5 | +8.3 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 14% | 13% | 61% | 13% | -2.8 | -2.5 | +4.6 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 11% | 12% | 65% | 11% | -1.9 | -3.3 | +6.2 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 10% | 9% | 70% | 11% | -2.5 | +12.1 | -8.6 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 10% | 15% | 64% | 11% | -25.8 | +0.8 | -2.5 | +27.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 16% | 58% | 24% | -2.0 | -3.8 | -2.3 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 13% | 54% | 30% | -0.8 | -2.6 | +0.5 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 12% | 54% | 32% | -3.1 | +7.5 | +1.0 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 2% | 15% | 57% | 26% | -3.7 | -2.7 | +6.0 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,500 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 11% | 65% | 23% | -3.6 | +6.8 | -2.5 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 15% | 61% | 24% | -0.4 | +4.3 | +0.9 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 17% | 63% | 20% | +0.2 | +10.9 | -4.4 | -6.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 27% | 56% | 17% | -1.6 | +3.5 | +1.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 29% | 56% | 15% | -1.4 | -31.9 | +2.2 | +31.2 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 59% | 37% | +8.6 | -3.6 | -1.2 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 3% | 67% | 30% | +0.6 | +4.3 | -45.9 | +41.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +3.0 | -10.3 | +8.0 | -0.7 |