Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +16.1 | -6.7 | -6.0 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 19% | 21% | 24% | -14.6 | -6.2 | +25.6 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 18% | 39% | 20% | +32.9 | -15.2 | -9.8 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 52% | 8% | 27% | 14% | +7.5 | -3.3 | -2.4 | -1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 60% | 6% | 22% | 12% | +17.9 | +0.6 | -15.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 4% | 9% | 5% | -2.5 | -2.9 | +8.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 82% | 4% | 10% | 5% | +0.7 | +2.6 | +2.6 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 81% | 4% | 11% | 4% | -8.2 | -4.6 | +17.5 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 74% | 0% | 23% | 3% | -4.1 | -1.3 | +6.6 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 67% | 0% | 30% | 3% | +11.9 | +2.8 | -10.6 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 0% | 10% | 2% | +3.2 | -9.2 | -3.7 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 92% | 0% | 5% | 2% | -1.0 | +19.7 | -1.0 | -17.7 |