Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 23% | 27% | 25% | +14.4 | -3.8 | -8.2 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 21% | 20% | 23% | -11.6 | -6.8 | +22.9 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 18% | 36% | 21% | +31.0 | -16.8 | -5.1 | -9.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 51% | 7% | 28% | 14% | +6.9 | -2.0 | -4.0 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 59% | 6% | 23% | 12% | +17.6 | +0.6 | -15.2 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 81% | 5% | 9% | 5% | -1.0 | -3.7 | +5.9 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 82% | 3% | 9% | 5% | +1.6 | +4.0 | +2.8 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 84% | 4% | 9% | 3% | -9.3 | -6.6 | +17.9 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 74% | 1% | 22% | 4% | -5.3 | -0.8 | +7.7 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 65% | 0% | 31% | 4% | +12.2 | +2.5 | -10.9 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 86% | 0% | 11% | 3% | +3.3 | -8.7 | -4.0 | +9.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 91% | 0% | 6% | 3% | -0.4 | +19.7 | -1.0 | -18.4 |