Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +64.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.4 | +2.1 | +4.7 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 23% | 27% | 27% | 23% | +4.0 | -8.2 | +3.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 26% | 20% | 30% | 24% | -8.4 | +10.3 | -1.6 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 20% | 28% | 29% | 24% | +25.9 | -23.0 | +0.9 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 40% | 14% | 27% | 20% | -6.6 | -2.7 | +0.7 | +8.6 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 18,000 | 33% | 12% | 28% | 26% | -22.5 | +64.5 | -20.7 | -21.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 10% | 68% | 12% | 11% | -1.4 | +0.1 | +24.4 | -23.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 16,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 7% | 69% | 21% | 3% | -42.4 | +3.7 | -3.5 | +42.2 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 76% | 9% | 15% | -0.2 | +11.0 | +6.0 | -16.8 |