Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/10 Game 2

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +64.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Honda Tomohiro● Asai Takaki● Okada Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Uchikawa● Honda● Asai● Okada
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHonda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Asai Takaki
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Asai Takaki
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
East 1Asai Takaki tsumo 1,10024%25%24%27%+0.1-3.2+5.7-2.6
East 2Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro24%23%29%24%+1.5-3.5+0.3+1.7
East 3Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro25%20%30%26%-8.6+10.1-0.5-1.0
East 4Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro19%29%28%25%+26.0-25.3+1.0-1.7
South 1Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro38%11%28%22%-6.6-1.0+1.2+6.4
South 2Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 18,00032%12%29%27%-21.4+64.2-20.4-22.4
South 2, 1 honbaAsai Takaki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka10%67%12%11%-2.1+1.7+24.4-24.0
South 3Okada Sayaka ron 16,000 from Honda Tomohiro7%69%21%3%-41.8+4.5-4.8+42.1
South 4Asai Takaki ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka0%78%9%14%-0.3+9.7+6.4-15.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)