Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/11 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 3,200 from Daisuke Suzuki, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +28.7 | -12.8 | -8.7 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 2,700 | 47% | 17% | 17% | 19% | -3.4 | +1.0 | -3.9 | +6.3 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 45% | 18% | 16% | 21% | -5.2 | -4.7 | +0.9 | +8.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 42% | 13% | 17% | 28% | +1.9 | -7.6 | +6.3 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 43% | 11% | 19% | 27% | +7.5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 51% | 9% | 18% | 22% | +2.5 | -6.9 | +5.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 54% | 7% | 20% | 20% | -0.6 | -0.5 | +7.7 | -6.6 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 7% | 23% | 15% | -5.0 | -14.1 | +27.7 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 41% | 1% | 51% | 8% | -3.4 | +15.3 | +6.1 | -18.0 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,000 | 32% | 0% | 64% | 4% | -1.6 | -8.3 | -3.1 | +12.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 32% | 0% | 61% | 7% | +33.3 | -10.5 | -22.1 | -0.8 |