Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -3.5 | -0.8 | -3.0 | +7.3 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo | 22% | 25% | 24% | 29% | +20.5 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -16.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 22% | 21% | 18% | -3.6 | -3.2 | +10.5 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 19% | 30% | 16% | +9.2 | -1.3 | -5.6 | -2.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 7,700 from Kei Nakabayashi | 43% | 20% | 22% | 15% | +0.6 | -0.4 | -23.2 | +22.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 18% | 11% | 27% | +29.2 | -6.9 | -5.9 | -16.4 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 77% | 8% | 5% | 9% | -2.4 | -0.9 | -5.0 | +8.3 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 76% | 7% | 4% | 12% | -7.8 | +22.4 | -5.6 | -9.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 19% | 4% | 11% | -3.5 | +4.7 | +2.9 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 23% | 4% | 10% | +6.5 | -7.5 | -3.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 73% | 14% | 4% | 9% | +1.7 | +11.2 | -9.4 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 77% | 16% | 0% | 7% | -30.3 | +44.2 | -8.8 | -5.1 |