Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/11 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 26% | 26% | 23% | -2.2 | -1.6 | -2.9 | +6.6 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 23% | 26% | 23% | 28% | +18.7 | -2.8 | +0.1 | -16.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 37% | 22% | 23% | 18% | -0.9 | -4.9 | +7.9 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 18% | 28% | 17% | +9.1 | +0.4 | -3.9 | -5.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 45% | 18% | 23% | 14% | +0.9 | -1.9 | -22.8 | +23.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 17% | 11% | 26% | +28.8 | -5.9 | -8.7 | -14.3 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 78% | 8% | 5% | 10% | -3.0 | -0.8 | -2.7 | +6.5 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 77% | 7% | 4% | 11% | -7.2 | +23.4 | -6.3 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 68% | 19% | 4% | 9% | -4.1 | +3.2 | +4.3 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 63% | 23% | 5% | 10% | +5.8 | -6.2 | -5.3 | +5.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 72% | 14% | 4% | 10% | +2.0 | +10.6 | -8.8 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 77% | 17% | 0% | 7% | -30.3 | +44.2 | -8.8 | -5.1 |