Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +82.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +8.3 | -3.4 | -2.7 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,900 | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | +11.3 | -4.4 | -4.1 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 20% | 20% | 22% | -3.6 | -0.9 | -2.9 | +7.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 36% | 19% | 18% | 26% | -6.7 | +19.8 | -4.2 | -8.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 30% | 32% | 17% | 20% | +18.5 | -1.9 | -1.0 | -15.6 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 46% | 27% | 14% | 12% | -1.4 | +2.3 | -5.4 | +4.5 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 45% | 30% | 11% | 15% | +14.6 | -12.3 | +1.3 | -3.6 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 18% | 10% | 9% | -22.9 | +39.7 | -9.5 | -7.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 58% | 6% | 6% | -1.0 | -0.4 | +4.6 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 27% | 60% | 7% | 6% | -4.1 | +7.0 | -5.4 | +2.4 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000 | 17% | 75% | 1% | 7% | -27.1 | -32.9 | +82.7 | -22.8 |