Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +4.7 | -2.6 | -2.9 | +0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -19.4 | -8.2 | -6.9 | +34.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 16% | 17% | 54% | -1.1 | +5.8 | -2.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 13% | 20% | 16% | 51% | +0.8 | +33.3 | -2.9 | -31.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 15% | 45% | 15% | 25% | 0.0 | -1.7 | +35.1 | -33.5 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 42% | 36% | 9% | -5.6 | +2.3 | -0.4 | +3.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 46% | 35% | 10% | -3.6 | -4.9 | +4.5 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 40% | 39% | 11% | -5.8 | -1.0 | -0.9 | +7.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 7% | 39% | 40% | 14% | -3.2 | -17.7 | +1.4 | +19.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 25% | 43% | 25% | -7.3 | -13.0 | -14.0 | +34.4 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 14% | 26% | 56% | -8.3 | +38.0 | -10.9 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 46% | 18% | 33% | +6.0 | -0.3 | -2.7 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 4% | 46% | 17% | 33% | -4.6 | +0.8 | -6.2 | +10.0 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 1% | 47% | 12% | 40% | +11.4 | -19.1 | -1.0 | +8.8 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 3% | 25% | 13% | 59% | -17.3 | -4.9 | +27.2 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 20% | 31% | 49% | -1.9 | -6.8 | -4.2 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 11% | 19% | 70% | +11.6 | -22.4 | -1.3 | +12.1 |