Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/13 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +7.1 | -5.7 | -4.0 | +2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 22% | 22% | 26% | -19.6 | -8.4 | -6.8 | +34.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 15% | 15% | 57% | -2.0 | +6.1 | -1.7 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 13% | 20% | 13% | 54% | -1.2 | +36.4 | -0.3 | -34.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 14% | 48% | 15% | 24% | -0.1 | -3.5 | +36.7 | -33.1 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 42% | 38% | 8% | -5.2 | +2.4 | -3.3 | +6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 46% | 35% | 10% | -4.8 | -4.9 | +4.6 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 40% | 40% | 12% | -2.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaki Asai ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 7% | 40% | 39% | 14% | -5.3 | -16.9 | +3.0 | +19.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 25% | 45% | 24% | -6.7 | -13.7 | -16.7 | +37.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 13% | 24% | 58% | -6.9 | +38.0 | -9.6 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 46% | 18% | 33% | +5.0 | -2.6 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 5% | 44% | 18% | 34% | -5.0 | +2.4 | -7.6 | +10.2 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 45% | 12% | 43% | +11.5 | -18.9 | -1.6 | +9.0 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 3% | 24% | 12% | 60% | -16.9 | -5.5 | +28.9 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 20% | 32% | 48% | -2.1 | -5.8 | -4.5 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 11% | 20% | 69% | +11.4 | -22.5 | -1.6 | +12.8 |