Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/13 Table B Game 1

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +42.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Sasaki Hisato● Nikaido Aki● Kobayashi Go● Hori Shingo0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Sasaki● Nikaido● Kobayashi● Hori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
East 1Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato26%24%25%25%-5.3+1.0+1.9+2.4
East 2Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,00021%24%27%28%-3.3+15.8-7.2-5.3
East 2, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00018%36%21%24%+34.9-17.9-9.5-7.5
East 3Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo47%20%15%18%-1.6-1.4+30.2-27.2
East 3, 1 honbaDraw43%18%32%7%+0.3+2.5-3.9+1.1
East 4, 2 honbaHori Shingo tsumo 12,00043%21%29%8%-9.9-11.5-11.2+32.5
East 4, 3 honbaDraw37%16%24%24%-1.8-2.0+7.8-4.0
South 1, 4 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 8,00035%15%30%20%-21.5+38.3-10.1-6.7
South 2Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,00017%46%21%17%-4.3-7.6+18.7-6.8
South 3Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00014%36%36%14%+42.3-8.0-23.7-10.5
South 4Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,70057%21%13%9%+19.3-21.2+16.1-14.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)