Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
11/13 Table B Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +41.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.6 | -0.3 | +0.8 | +5.1 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 26% | 25% | 29% | -5.6 | +15.6 | -5.6 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 38% | 21% | 25% | +40.8 | -19.3 | -10.7 | -10.7 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 49% | 19% | 15% | 17% | -2.9 | +0.7 | +29.6 | -27.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 19% | 30% | 6% | -1.3 | +2.0 | -1.6 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 20% | 29% | 7% | -12.0 | -11.3 | -12.6 | +35.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 16% | 25% | 24% | -1.0 | -2.9 | +8.3 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 16% | 30% | 21% | -19.3 | +37.6 | -8.7 | -9.5 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 44% | 23% | 15% | -4.6 | -6.1 | +15.0 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 37% | 34% | 14% | +41.6 | -8.0 | -22.1 | -11.5 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 57% | 23% | 12% | 9% | +19.1 | -22.0 | +16.8 | -13.9 |