Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/14 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +26.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Asami Maki● Aikawa Megumu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Uchikawa● Matsumoto● Asami● Aikawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMatsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro25%25%26%24%-21.9-4.2-0.2+26.2
East 2Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro12%20%24%44%-10.5-2.2-1.1+13.7
East 3Aikawa Megumu ron 12,000 from Asami Maki7%16%20%57%+0.5-29.7+32.6-3.5
East 3, 1 honbaAsami Maki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro5%4%44%48%-17.5+18.1-2.4+1.8
East 4Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro2%8%40%50%-7.0+0.8-5.3+11.5
East 4, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 1,000 from Asami Maki2%7%30%61%-0.4-2.4+3.4-0.6
South 1Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro1%5%32%62%-5.5-1.0-0.7+7.2
South 2Aikawa Megumu ron 3,900 from Asami Maki0%3%26%70%+0.4-9.0+8.9-0.3
South 3Draw0%0%32%68%-0.8+0.6+5.3-5.1
South 3, 1 honbaAsami Maki ron 5,200 from Aikawa Megumu0%0%42%58%-2.0+9.6-18.7+11.2
South 4Aikawa Megumu ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro0%0%13%87%-3.6+0.2-0.7+4.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)