Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

11/14 Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +22.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Maki Asami● Megumu Aikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Yoshihiro● Maki● Megumu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto25%25%24%27%-22.1-0.6-0.1+22.8
East 2Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto11%22%22%45%-11.6-4.9-0.2+16.7
East 3Megumu Aikawa ron 12,000 from Maki Asami6%15%19%60%+0.8-29.1+32.6-4.3
East 3, 1 honbaMaki Asami ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto5%4%42%50%-17.6+19.3-1.2-0.4
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto2%10%41%48%-5.1-2.3-4.6+12.1
East 4, 1 honbaMegumu Aikawa ron 1,000 from Maki Asami1%6%32%61%-0.4-1.1+2.5-1.0
South 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto1%5%33%61%-6.7-0.4-0.1+7.2
South 2Megumu Aikawa ron 3,900 from Maki Asami0%3%26%70%+0.4-9.2+8.7+0.1
South 3Exhaustive draw0%0%32%67%-0.7+1.6+3.8-4.6
South 3, 1 honbaMaki Asami ron 5,200 from Megumu Aikawa0%0%40%60%-2.0+8.8-18.3+11.4
South 4Megumu Aikawa ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto0%0%12%87%-3.6+0.1-0.1+3.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)